US attack on Iran on the verge of decision

Trump's military option against Iran, under the microscope of analysis, contains signs of his decision to launch a military attack against Iran.

While various credible media reports and analysis by international security policymakers indicate the possibility of a US attack on Iran and the continuation of Donald Trump's threats, it is still unclear whether these threats will actually lead to a military phase. Recent analyses, comments, and developments indicate that the option of a US attack on Iran has neither been abandoned nor is it certain, but rather remains at a sensitive and ambiguous point.

US President Donald Trump has not yet ruled out military action against Iran, and a final decision could be made in the next two to three weeks, according to US officials. The analysis is based on the views of senior and former US officials who have weighed the "cost-benefit" assessment, potential consequences, and domestic and foreign pressures.

Analysts also believe that Trump's recent change of tone and decision to temporarily withdraw did not mean the complete end of the military option, but rather a kind of temporary pause and buying time, as various options, from a limited attack to a large-scale operation, are still being considered, and US intelligence and military agencies are trying to choose the best path.

Several factors played a role in Trump's decision-making process:

• Pressure from US intelligence and military agencies to examine the possible risks and consequences of a direct conflict with Iran.
• The concerns of America's allies in the region, led by Israel, some reports say would prefer to see a broad, joint attack rather than a limited action.
• Diplomatic reactions and regional interactions (political dialogues between Iran and other countries) that may complicate the decision-making process.

Meanwhile, the Axios report indicates that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu discussed the possibility of another attack on Iran in a meeting with Trump, a sign that the issue is being considered at the highest decision-making levels of the two countries.

Israel Hume also wrote in a warning tone, referring to the protests and repression in Iran and Trump's temporary retreat against the Islamic Republic: "Even if the current wave of protests is suppressed, the next wave will be on the way."

Aside from the military option, analysis suggests that the United States is considering a combination of pressure tools, including increased sanctions, targeted intelligence operations, or indirect support for internal developments in Iran. These approaches are being used alongside military threats, and some observers say the ultimate goal may be to change Tehran’s behavior without engaging in full-scale war.

Inside Iran, the crackdown on protests and the political situation, along with the Tehran authorities' strong reactions to external threats, have exacerbated the tense atmosphere. Reports indicate that despite Trump's temporary withdrawal from ordering the attack, threats against the Iranian regime continue, and future developments in Iran could play a decisive role in America's final decision.

Overall, despite the temporary withdrawal from the immediate implementation of the attack and then Trump's harsh statements regarding the appointment of a new leadership for Iran, an analysis of reliable media and political sources shows that: "The option of the US attacking Iran is still open and may be raised again within the next two to three weeks; different groups have different interests and views on this option, and at the same time, diplomatic efforts and political pressures are underway that could determine the final path of this decision."