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The Islamic Republic's mullahs are beating the drums of war.

Soheila.S. FCNN News Agency: These days, a flood of accusations has been pouring in towards Iran, and there is a fear that the extremist clerics allied with Hezbollah in the Islamic Republic are beating the drums of war. Because the memory of the eight-year war and massacre between Iran and Iraq is still alive in the minds of the Iranian people. Memories that recall similar intentional tensions of these days, and after that the war began.

In recent months, accusations of supporting terrorism against the Islamic Republic were not enough, and now the arrow of war has also been aimed at this regime. In these circumstances, the silence of the Islamic Republic officials, led by Khamenei, in the face of these accusations is surprising. Of course, from time to time, a spokesman for one of the officials makes a more public face and utters slogans.

But since around 8:20 p.m. local time on Saturday night, November 4, when the Houthis in Yemen aimed their ballistic missile at Riyadh airport in Saudi Arabia, the severity and clarity of these accusations have increased. To the extent that the Saudi-led coalition yesterday accused Iran of playing a role in the missile attack on Riyadh International Airport, it said that the attack could be considered an act of war and that it may respond to it.

 In the face of this reaction and attack, the silence of regime officials has become even more meaningful.

In the latest reactions to these accusations, on Monday evening, November 5, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Bahram Qassemi denied the country's involvement in the Yemeni Houthi missile attack on Riyadh airport and called the Saudi-led coalition's statement "destructive and provocative."

According to Iranian news agencies, in recent days, Amir Hatami, our country's Defense Minister, has said in response to those who have accused Iran of exporting weapons and missiles to Yemen: "Does anyone ask America what you are providing to Saudi Arabia?" Major General Mohammad Ali Jafari, Commander-in-Chief of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, has also reminded: "Mr. Trump has said many reckless, false and untruthful words, and this is also one of those slanders."

The source of these ambiguous reactions and meaningful silence from the Islamic Republic's officials was the front page headline of the Kayhan newspaper on Monday, November 5. The headline read: "Ansar Allah missile fired at Riyadh, Dubai's next target."

The announcement of this headline by a newspaper that has been associated with the extremism and radicalism of the regime, especially the fundamentalist faction, in recent decades can in a way reflect the indirect reaction of the power pyramid in the regime and their position against the Yemeni missile attack on Saudi Arabia. The positions taken by Hossein Shariatmadari, the editor-in-chief of this newspaper, at various stages is another example of this support and coordination.

In particular, it is emphasized in the Code of Professional Ethics of the Kayhan Press Institute: "This is a place for publishing news and analysis with the overall focus of creating awareness, knowledge, and defending pure Muhammadan Islam and the system of the Islamic Republic of Iran, the thoughts and ideals of Imam Khomeini (RA) and the Supreme Leader."

The announcement of Dubai as the next target of ballistic missiles comes at a time when, in addition to Saudi Arabia, the US President has also emphasized Iran's role in this missile attack in the last two days and accused the Islamic Republic.

In recent days, we have witnessed another significant action by the Islamic Republic's mullahs. Simultaneously with November 4, when a Houthi missile was fired at Riyadh, a ceremony was held to mark the anniversary of the attack on the US embassy in Iran, attended by Basij members and regime supporters. In an unprecedented act, a ballistic missile was put on public display in front of the former US embassy. Such a move may be a provocative act for those who consider Iran a serious threat to the region.

The missile on display at Student Day in Tehran was the Qadr-e ballistic missile, which is a long-range missile with a range of 2,000 kilometers. This missile is actually one of Iran's three 2,000-kilometer missiles. The Khorramshahr and Sejil missiles are the other 2,000-kilometer missiles.

These deliberate efforts and maneuvers by extremists in the Islamic Republic have already dealt a heavy blow to Iranians.

It is not inappropriate to go back to 1980, five months before the start of the Iran-Iraq War. It was in the final days of Farvardin 1980, about a year and a half after the Islamic Republic came to power in Iran, that Khomeini, the leader of the Islamic Revolution in Iran, incited the Iraqi army and people against Saddam. In a voice message, he promised his regime's cooperation in supporting the destruction of Saddam Hussein and the establishment of an Islamic government in Iraq.

Part of this message read: "According to Islamic law, Saddam Hussein is an infidel and a supporter of infidels. The Iraqi people should know that this person is a dangerous person for the Iraqi people and otherwise he cannot harm our people. The Iraqi people should try with all their might to eliminate this corrupt person. And eliminate this population that they have that is acting against Islam and the interests of Islam. You should do the same thing that the Iranian army did to the former Shah. Just as they abandoned him and joined the people and the soldiers fled from the barracks and joined the people, you should also try to eliminate this germ of corruption. God will approve of you if you rise up and eliminate this person and put one of your own in his place. We will also help you until one of you and the Iraqi people runs this country. The Iraqi people do not agree with Saddam Hussein even for a day. The Iraqi people agree with Islam."

At that time, five months before Saddam's attack on Iran on 20th of Farvardin 1359, the Kayhan newspaper Atash Biar became famous, and the main headline of that day was: "The Imam called on the Iraqi army to revolt."

What was the result of this arson? The Revolutionary Guard Corps, which symbolizes the nation's oppression, gained power. Rent-seeking and the emergence of an economic mafia took place. The mullahs and the aghas at the top of the power pyramid accumulated windfall wealth. The people were busy feeding their hungry bellies and enjoying subsidized goods.

In a report published by Khabar Online, citing Saadeh Eqtesad, two years ago, the war's damage to Iran was 10 times the country's total oil revenues during the eight years of the war. Damages that are still weighing heavily on the Iranian economy and people.

In addition, people are grieving the loss of their loved ones and suffering from serious injuries.

According to FCNN, during the eight-year Iran-Iraq war, 233,591 Iranians were killed, 155,000 of whom were young people between the ages of 16 and 25 who had no experience of combat or confrontation with the enemy.

Of course, the number of more than 5,000 missing persons and their families waiting for their turn should not be overlooked. The relics of the Iran-Iraq war are also veterans who struggle with various disabilities and diseases. The number of these wounded is also more than 520,000 people. Their families suffer pain and bear the burden of the war.

 Of course, the mourning period still remains. There are still eyes on the missing in the war, and families are waiting to see and bury their loved ones.

There is no doubt that the consequences of a war with Saudi Arabia will be far more terrible and damaging than a war with Iraq. However, it seems that some people, regardless of these consequences, are looking forward to involving Iran in the war again. These people, who are looking for an opportunity to establish a military government and full-scale repression of the people in the country, have realized very well that their only hope for survival is to create another fire. Therefore, we see that those in power in Iran, out of pride and ignorance or consciously and deliberately, are pursuing the intention of forcing Saudi Arabia to start a war.

The rulers of the Islamic Republic, led by Khamenei, will achieve other goals through this war. Access to key markets lost as a result of sanctions and taking control of the administration of affairs in Mecca and Medina are other goals that, according to the regime's officials, will be achievable through war. Especially since they, claiming to be the leaders of the Muslim Ummah, have been dreaming of taking control of Mecca and Medina for years and have explicitly mentioned it many times. One of the events that gave Khamenei an excuse to realize this dream was the Mina incident in 2015. In this incident, more than seven thousand people were killed and injured due to the closure of one of the Muslim crossings.

A year after this incident, Khamenei insulted the House of Saud and their qualifications in various terms in front of the families of the victims. In part of his speech, he said, “This incident proved that this cursed, evil lineage is not worthy of governing the sacred institution of Muslims.”

He called the House of Saud shameless and continued, "The incompetence of the Saudis and the insecurity they impose on pilgrims to the House of God is a reality that must be promoted and established in the Islamic world, because it is considered a crime."

On the other hand, the possibility cannot be ignored that if Saudi Arabia's refineries are destroyed and the country's export capacity is reduced, Iran could gain a greater share of the oil market.

The current situation in the oil market is such that Saudi Arabia, as the largest oil exporter, has significantly reduced its production and exports in order to balance the market and in accordance with the OPEC agreement. Iran, which has lost its customers in the oil market in recent decades and under the influence of sanctions, is now trying to gain a share of this market. Meanwhile, Iraq, which has been involved in financing the war for years, has joined Iran.

Shipping data compiled by Bloomberg showed that Iraq exported 3.98 million barrels of oil per day in September, the highest since December. Iran’s oil exports also rose to 28.2 million barrels per day, the highest since February, but Saudi Arabia’s exports were 68.6 million barrels per day, the second-lowest this year.

Meanwhile, statistics indicate that Iran has still not reached its OPEC production ceiling, even though it has increased oil exports to China to an unprecedented extent.

If the OPEC production cut agreement ends in March, Saudi Arabia will be able to increase its production and will likely return to the July 2016 production record of 10.7 million barrels per day. These are some of the facts that could strengthen the motivation for possible warmaking among the leaders of the Islamic Republic.

Thus, it is not unreasonable for people to be concerned today, as they fear that the regime's hardline clerics, in order to maintain the regime's power, will once again engage Iran in an unfair battle, in which the grieving Iranian nation will be the losers under any circumstances.

We ask God to bestow His eternal mercy on the Iranian nation and other nations of the region so that they can overcome this crisis and that the Almighty does not allow opportunists and warmongers to achieve their sinister goals.

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